TODAY.AZ / Business

Oil prices rise to more than $59 a barrel on cold weather, escalating geopolitical risks

03 February 2007 [09:30] - TODAY.AZ
Oil prices rose to more than $59 a barrel Friday on expectations of bitter cold weather in the U.S. Northeast this weekend and on growing concerns over geopolitical factors.

Colder weather across the U.S. helped to boost oil prices this week. A winter storm rushed across the Southeast on Thursday, grounding flights a day after coating roads with deadly ice in the Midwest. Below-normal temperatures are expected this weekend for the Northeast, the nation's main heating oil consuming region.

Concerns were also stoked Friday by a threat from the two main Nigerian oil workers' unions to strike next week in protest of rising violence in the country's petroleum-producing southern region.

The 20,000 blue and white-collar union members "are of the opinion that the environment is not safe enough for them to continue operation," said Peter Akpatason, one of the union's leaders on behalf of both unions.

Meanwhile, increased tensions between Washington and Iran remain on the radar as traders worry that a confrontation between the two could lead to a disruption in oil production. Last week, Iran announced new tests of short-range missiles, while the U.S. Navy sends a second aircraft carrier to the Persian Gulf as a warning.

"It's the same general thing, except there are more rumors at least of war," said John Kingston, director of oil at Platts, a division of McGraw-Hill Cos.

Kingston said he considers Iran's struggle to keep production up as more of a concern long-term than the potential for a confrontation between Iran and the U.S.

"There's continued bullish momentum with the cold weather and a change in market psychology when it comes to geopolitical risks," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago.

Light, sweet crude for March delivery rose as high as $59.10 during afternoon trading, before falling back to $58.98, up $1.68, on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for March delivery gained $1.66 to $58.38 a barrel Friday on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

Heating oil futures rose more than a penny to $1.6762 a gallon

Expectations that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will tighten their spigots further are also likely to shore up crude oil prices.

The Wall Street Journal reported this week that Saudi Arabia has advised its customers of its impending 158,000 barrel a day output cut effective Feb. 1. The reduction is part of a December agreement by OPEC to cut output by 500,000 barrels a day on top of an earlier production cut of 1.2 million barrels a day.

Iran also stirred some worries in the natural gas market when it said last week that it may build a global natural gas cartel like OPEC with Russia. But President Vladimir Putin shot down the idea Thursday and rejected suggestions that Russia is using its energy reserves as a political weapon.

Natural gas prices rose less than a penny to $7.538 per 1,000 cubic feet.

"I'm not completely sure how a natural gas cartel would work anyway," Kingston said. "Natural gas is a series of isolated gas grids. It's not like oil which is interconnected."

In other trading, gasoline futures rose less than 3 prices to $1.5626. The Associated Press

/The International Herald Tribune/


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